Pair #7524

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 25482

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 39616

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:13Z

Reasoning: If Lee finishes in the top 10, he necessarily finishes in the top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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