Pair #7522

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-MWLE

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5466

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0800

Rules

If Min Woo Lee wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 20347

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:13Z

Reasoning: Winning a major in 2026 could be at a different major than The Masters. Finishing top 5 at The Masters does not guarantee winning any major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 7.25% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9600
Days to maturity: 213
Hurdle yield: 4.28%
Excess yield: +2.96% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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