Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MWLE
Will Min Woo Lee win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3343364
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26APAC-MLEE
Will Min Woo Lee finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?
Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 21298
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:07:55Z
Reasoning: If Min Woo Lee wins the Masters (lowest total strokes overall), he must also have the lowest total strokes among the subset of Asian/Oceanic golfers, so he necessarily finishes as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A