Pair #7504

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-SLOW

The Masters: Will Shane Lowry make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 10800

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0600
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26EUR-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry finish as the top European golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:25.427Z
Volume: 8999

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.8300
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry records the lowest total strokes among all European golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:07:31Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee being the top European (another European could finish with fewer strokes), and being top European does not require making the cut in the traditional sense — though both require completing the tournament, neither logically necessitates the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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