Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNBANORTHWEST-25-DEN
Will Denver win the Pro Basketball Northwest Division Winner?
Series: KXNBANORTHWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16526
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Denver is the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Northwest Division Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNBAPLAYOFF-26-DEN
Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers Winner?
Series: KXNBAPLAYOFF
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-18T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23009
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Denver is one of the Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:00:32Z
Reasoning: Winning the Northwest Division guarantees a playoff berth (division winners in the NBA qualify for the playoffs). However, making the playoffs does not require winning the division — teams can qualify as wild cards. So the implication is one-directional: Northwest Division winner → playoff qualifier.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$2.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A