Pair #7498

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-SHL

The Masters: Will Shane Lowry finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 56908

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-SHL

The Masters: Will Shane Lowry finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 55762

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0400
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:07:31Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 logically implies finishing top 20. Finishing top 20 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue