Pair #7493

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-SHL

The Masters: Will Shane Lowry finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 66717

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.8300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-SLOW

The Masters: Will Shane Lowry make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 10800

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0600
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:07:15Z

Reasoning: If Lowry finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to complete all four rounds and achieve that finish. Making the cut does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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