Pair #7474

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6938197

YES ask: 0.0640
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0640

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Rules

If Shane Lowry wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-SHL

The Masters: Will Shane Lowry finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 55762

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0400
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:06:56Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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