KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-SSCH
The Masters: Will Scottie Scheffler make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 31577
YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9900
KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26USA-SSCH
Will Scottie Scheffler finish as the top United States golfer in the tournament?
Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 59321
YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1700
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:06:12Z
Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee Scheffler is the top US finisher (another US golfer could beat him). Being top US finisher requires completing the full tournament, which means he made the cut, but the rules say 'complete the full tournament' — making the cut is necessary but Scheffler could still not be the top US finisher. Actually, if Scheffler is top US finisher he must have made the cut, but making the cut does not imply he is top US finisher. Only one direction could hold: top US finisher → made the cut. However, 'complete the full tournament' in the rules is slightly different from just making the cut (could WD after cut). Medium confidence that top US finisher implies made the cut, but not certain due to 'complete full tournament' language potentially excluding WDs.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.2200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A
Not yet reviewed.
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