Pair #7413

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-SSCH

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 39655

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-SSCH

The Masters: Will Scottie Scheffler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 31577

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:04:58Z

Reasoning: If Scheffler finishes top 10 in all 4 majors including the Masters, he must have completed enough rounds to achieve that finish, which requires making the cut. You cannot finish top 10 in the tournament without making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -96.97% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7100
Days to maturity: 56
Hurdle yield: 4.21%
Excess yield: -101.18% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue