Pair #7405

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-THAT

The Masters: Will Tyrrell Hatton make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 2802

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7000

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Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26LIV-THAT

Will Tyrrell Hatton finish as the top LIV golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 46937

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton records the lowest total strokes among all LIV golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:04:34Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee being the top LIV golfer (another LIV golfer could finish with fewer strokes). Being the top LIV golfer requires completing the full tournament, which implies making the cut, but the rules say 'complete the full tournament' — however, making the cut alone does not imply being the top LIV golfer. No clean implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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