Pair #7404

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-TYH

The Masters: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 22393

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-THAT

The Masters: Will Tyrrell Hatton make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 2802

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:04:34Z

Reasoning: If Hatton finishes top 5, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue