Pair #7401

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-THAT

The Masters: Will Tyrrell Hatton make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 2802

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-THAT

Will Tyrrell Hatton lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 148939

YES ask: 0.0110
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0110

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:04:34Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could lead R1 but play poorly in R2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not imply leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3110
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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