Pair #7394

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-TYH

The Masters: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 34433

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-THAT

The Masters: Will Tyrrell Hatton make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 2802

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:04:14Z

Reasoning: To finish in the top 10 at The Masters, a player must have made the cut. Making the cut is a necessary condition for any final leaderboard finish. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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