Pair #7392

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-TYH

The Masters: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 34433

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-TYH

The Masters: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 39539

YES ask: 0.5800
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:04:14Z

Reasoning: If Hatton finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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