Pair #7379

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 34249

YES ask: 0.0090
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0090

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Griffin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-BEG

The Masters: Will Ben Griffin finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 8423

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:03:53Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-5 finish — a player can collapse over the remaining rounds. Finishing top 5 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0720
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue