Pair #7373

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-PREE

The Masters: Will Patrick Reed make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13451

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26USA-PREE

Will Patrick Reed finish as the top United States golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 53237

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed records the lowest total strokes among all United States golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:03:33Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee finishing as the top US golfer (another US golfer could score better), and being the top US golfer does not strictly require making the cut in the traditional sense — though the rules say 'complete the full tournament,' which implies making the cut. However, making the cut alone does not necessitate being the top US golfer.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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