Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-PREE
The Masters: Will Patrick Reed make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13451
YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Patrick Reed has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1TOP10-MAST26-PREE
The Masters: Will Patrick Reed finish top 10 in Round 1?
Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-10T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4299
YES ask: 0.2700
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.2700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Patrick Reed finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:03:33Z
Reasoning: Making the cut does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1, and finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a poor Round 2 could still result in missing the cut).
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.2900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A