Pair #7369

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-PREE

The Masters: Will Patrick Reed make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13451

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9900

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Rules

If Patrick Reed has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-PREE

Will Patrick Reed lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 549162

YES ask: 0.0320
NO ask: 0.9730
Last: 0.0280

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:03:33Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut), and making the cut does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0520
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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