Pair #7362

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-PREE

Masters Tournament: Will Patrick Reed finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 229863

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Reed finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-PREE

The Masters: Will Patrick Reed make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13451

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Reed has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:03:11Z

Reasoning: To finish top 10 in the Masters, Reed must complete all rounds, which requires making the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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