Pair #7360

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26USA-PREE

Will Patrick Reed finish as the top United States golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 53237

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Reed records the lowest total strokes among all United States golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-PREE

Masters Tournament: Will Patrick Reed finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 299988

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.8800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Reed finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:03:11Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 overall does not mean Reed is the top US golfer (another US golfer could finish higher). Being top US golfer does not require finishing top 20 overall.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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