Pair #7351

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-PREE

Will Patrick Reed win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 13758916

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Patrick Reed wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26USA-PREE

Will Patrick Reed finish as the top United States golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 53237

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed records the lowest total strokes among all United States golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:03:11Z

Reasoning: If Reed wins the Masters, he has the lowest total strokes in the entire field, which necessarily means he has the lowest strokes among US golfers. The reverse does not hold — a non-US golfer could win while Reed leads among US players.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0220
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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