Pair #7350

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-MAST26-PREE

The Masters: Will Patrick Reed finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-10T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4299

YES ask: 0.2700
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Reed finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-PREE

Will Patrick Reed win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 13758916

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Reed wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:03:11Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1 — a player can start poorly and recover. And finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not imply winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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