Pair #7349

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-PREE

Will Patrick Reed win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 13758916

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Patrick Reed wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-PREE

The Masters: Will Patrick Reed make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13451

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:02:49Z

Reasoning: If Patrick Reed wins the Masters, he must have made the cut — you cannot win the tournament without surviving the cut and playing all four rounds. However, making the cut does not imply winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9820
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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