Pair #7347

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26APR07GARZVE-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the Garin vs Zverev : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-04-07T12:00:00Z
Volume: 48201

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the Garin vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1626747

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.6300
Last: 0.3900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:02:49Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the Monte Carlo Round of 32 are entirely separate tournaments. Winning the French Open does not require winning this Monte Carlo match, and winning this match does not imply winning the French Open. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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