Pair #733

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JTHO

Valspar Championship: Will Justin Thomas make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Justin Thomas
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2449

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.5800

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Rules

If Justin Thomas makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JTHO

Will Justin Thomas win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Justin Thomas
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3255023

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Thomas wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:07:54Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valspar Championship are entirely independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4110
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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