Pair #7308

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JROS

The Masters: Will Justin Rose make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 15667

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-JROS

Will Justin Rose lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 779826

YES ask: 0.0360
NO ask: 0.9690
Last: 0.0360

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:01:42Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (Rose could have a terrible Round 2 and miss the cut). Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0560
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue