Pair #7273

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JROS

Will Justin Rose win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 16684948

YES ask: 0.0560
NO ask: 0.9450
Last: 0.0560

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Rules

If Justin Rose wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JROS

The Masters: Will Justin Rose make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 15667

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:00:33Z

Reasoning: To win the Masters, a player must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. If Rose wins the tournament, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9350
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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