Pair #7237

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MPUL

The Masters: Will Mateo Pulcini finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mateo Pulcini
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1255

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mateo Pulcini finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-MPUL

The Masters: Will Mateo Pulcini finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mateo Pulcini
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 5463

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mateo Pulcini finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:03:24Z

Reasoning: If Pulcini finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue