Pair #7228

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-MAST26-BHOL

Will Brandon Holtz lead at the end of Round 2 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Brandon Holtz
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 942

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Brandon Holtz is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BHOL

Will Brandon Holtz win the The Masters?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brandon Holtz
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 371506

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandon Holtz wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:03:05Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters does not require leading after Round 2 (a player can come from behind), and leading after Round 2 does not guarantee winning. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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