Pair #7221

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-NHOJ

The Masters: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 19988

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

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Rules

If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-NHOJ

The Masters: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 30636

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:02:46Z

Reasoning: If Hojgaard finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — a top 20 finish does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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