Pair #7215

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-DBER

The Masters: Will Daniel Berger finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Daniel Berger
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2679

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Daniel Berger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-DBER

The Masters: Will Daniel Berger finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Daniel Berger
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 6763

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Daniel Berger finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:02:46Z

Reasoning: If Berger finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — a top 20 finish does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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