KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JSPA
Will J.J. Spaun win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4303647
YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0030
Pair #7205
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JSPA
Will J.J. Spaun win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4303647
YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0030
Rules
If J.J. Spaun wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:02:25Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters means Spaun finishes top 10 at the Masters (1st place), but Event B requires top 10 finishes in ALL 4 majors. Winning the Masters alone does not guarantee top 10 in the other three majors. The reverse also doesn't hold — finishing top 10 in all 4 majors doesn't mean he won the Masters. No necessary implication in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0020
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A
Not yet reviewed.
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