Pair #7199

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-VSIN

Will Vijay Singh win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Vijay Singh
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 109595

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vijay Singh wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-VSIN

The Masters: Will Vijay Singh make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Vijay Singh
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 20402

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vijay Singh has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:02:03Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters requires playing all rounds, which means Vijay Singh must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut doesn't mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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