Pair #7189

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ABHA

Will Akshay Bhatia win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 7618694

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-AKB

The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 77033

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:02:03Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2050
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue