Pair #7131

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JROS

Will Justin Rose win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 16684948

YES ask: 0.0560
NO ask: 0.9450
Last: 0.0560

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Rules

If Justin Rose wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-JUR

The Masters: Will Justin Rose finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 185897

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:00:35Z

Reasoning: Winning The Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7250
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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