Pair #7129

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JUR

The Masters: Will Justin Rose finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 205850

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-JROS

Justin Rose to be the Europe Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4082

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose is the Europe Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-06T08:00:35Z

Reasoning: Being Ryder Cup captain has no logical connection to finishing top 20 at The Masters. These are independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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