Pair #7126

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26APR05GOFNAV-NAV

Will Emilio Nava win the Goffin vs Nava : Qualification Final match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Emilio Nava
Expiration: 2026-04-05T12:00:00Z
Volume: 17992

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.3800
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emilio Nava wins the Goffin vs Nava professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26APR05GOFNAV-1-NAV

Will Emilio Nava win set 1 in the David Goffin vs Emilio Nava match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Emilio Nava
Expiration: 2026-04-05T12:00:00Z
Volume: 506

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emilio Nava wins set 1 in the David Goffin vs Emilio Nava professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:04:34Z

Reasoning: Neither direction holds necessarily. Nava can win the match without winning set 1 (e.g., lose set 1 then win sets 2 and 3). And winning set 1 does not guarantee winning the match overall.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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