Pair #7124

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26APR06TBBUF-TB

Tampa Bay at Buffalo Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-07T02:00:00Z
Volume: 9461

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Buffalo professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26APR07TBOTT-TB

Tampa Bay at Ottawa Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-08T02:00:00Z
Volume: 11031

YES ask: 0.4500
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Ottawa professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:04:28Z

Reasoning: These are two separate games for the Tampa Bay Lightning on different dates against different opponents. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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