Pair #7117

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLTOTAL-26APR05NJMTL-9

New Jersey vs Montreal: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 9.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-04-06T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1296

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 9.5 total combined goals are scored in the New Jersey vs Montreal professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLTOTAL-26APR06SEAWPG-9

Seattle vs Winnipeg: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 9.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-04-07T02:30:00Z
Volume: 887

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 9.5 total combined goals are scored in the Seattle vs Winnipeg professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:04:28Z

Reasoning: These are two separate games on different dates with independent scoring outcomes. Neither result logically necessitates the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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