Pair #7106

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-NHOJ

Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the The Masters?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2660492

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-NHOJ

The Masters: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 19988

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:04:14Z

Reasoning: Winning The Masters means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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