Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-NHOJ
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the The Masters?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2660492
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Nicolai Hojgaard wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-MAST26-NHOJ
The Masters: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 19988
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:04:14Z
Reasoning: Winning The Masters means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0800
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A