Pair #7103

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JKNA

Will Jake Knapp win the The Masters?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4257356

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

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Rules

If Jake Knapp wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-JKNA

The Masters: Will Jake Knapp finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 86048

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:04:14Z

Reasoning: Winning The Masters means finishing 1st, which is within the top 5. The reverse does not hold — top 5 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1180
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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