Pair #7101

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-JKNA

The Masters: Will Jake Knapp finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 120939

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.6900
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JKNA

The Masters: Will Jake Knapp finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 72992

YES ask: 0.7500
NO ask: 0.2700
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:04:14Z

Reasoning: If Jake Knapp finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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