Pair #7098

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-BHOL

The Masters: Will Brandon Holtz finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brandon Holtz
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 5255

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Brandon Holtz finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-BHOL

The Masters: Will Brandon Holtz finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brandon Holtz
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 22898

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandon Holtz finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:03:57Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish necessarily means a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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