Pair #7090

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-DWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Danny Walker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 576

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-DWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Danny Walker finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 256

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:03:57Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish necessarily means a top 20 finish (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue