Pair #7075

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-KROY

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Roy finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 467

YES ask: 0.4700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-KROY

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Roy finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1114

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:03:19Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 logically necessitates finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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