Pair #7064

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CPHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Chandler Phillips finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chandler Phillips
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 713

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Phillips finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-CPHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Chandler Phillips finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chandler Phillips
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1053

YES ask: 0.7400
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Phillips finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:03:04Z

Reasoning: If Phillips finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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