Pair #7060

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JPAR

Valero Texas Open: Will John Parry finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: John Parry
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 228

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Parry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JPAR

Valero Texas Open: Will John Parry finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: John Parry
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6879

YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.6600
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Parry finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:03:04Z

Reasoning: If Parry finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue