Pair #7059

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-JPAR

Will John Parry win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: John Parry
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 410397

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Parry wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JPAR

Valero Texas Open: Will John Parry finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: John Parry
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 228

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Parry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:03:04Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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