Pair #7050

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-SJAE

Valero Texas Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 974

YES ask: 0.3100
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SJAE

Valero Texas Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2212

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4300
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:02:45Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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